Population growth rate is the most significant driving force among human activities that create impact on the environment.
Although the population growth rate has decreased from time to time, the population of Turkey has increased continuously. The population growth rate in Turkey, which was 1.39% in 2019, decreased to 0.55% in 2020. According to the data of 2020, the total population in Turkey was 83,614,362 people, and the population density (population per km2) increased reached 109 people. The median age in our country was 32.4 in 2019 and increased to 32.7 in 2020 [i]
GRAPH 1- POPULATION AND POPULATION GROWTH RATE CHANGES OVER THE YEARS
TABLE 1- POPULATION AND POPULATION GROWTH RATE CHANGES OVER THE YEARS
|
YEARS |
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
|
Population (thousand people) |
56,473 |
67,804 |
73,723 |
78,741 |
79,815 |
80,811 |
82,004 |
83,155 |
83,614 |
|
Population Growth Rate (%) |
2.17 |
1.83 |
1.59 |
1.34 |
1.35 |
1.24 |
1.47 |
1.39 |
0.55 |
|
Population density (capita/ km2) |
73 |
88 |
96 |
102 |
104 |
105 |
107 |
108 |
109 |
Source: TURKSTAT. General Population Census Results between 1990-2000 and Address Based Population Registration System results between 2010-2020 were used.
Note: In the calculation of annual growth rate of population, latest year's administrative division was taken into consideration.Note: Last year’s administrative division structure was taken into account when calculating annual population growth rates.
Population projections are of great importance in terms of future policy-making. Determination of the current population trends and predicting future population structure in case of continuation of these trends provide healthier policies.
Turkey’s population is expected to grow to 86,907,367 in 2023 and 100,331,233 in 2040. The population is expected to grow until 2069, when it will reach its peak of 107,664,079 people. Turkey’s population, which is expected to decline beginning this year, is expected to be 107,100,904 people in 2080.
Life expectancy at birth is expected to increase and the population will continue to age in Turkey. The median age, which is a major indicator of the age pattern of the population, is expected to be 33.5 in 2023, 38.5 in 2040, 42.3 in 2060 and 45 in 2080[2].
GRAPH 2- POPULATION PROJECTIONS BY YEARS, 2019-2080
TABLE 2- POPULATION PROJECTIONS BY YEARS, 2019-2080
|
Years |
2019 |
2020 |
2025 |
2030 |
2035 |
2040 |
2045 |
2050 |
|
Population (thousand people) |
82,886 |
83,900 |
88,845 |
93,329 |
97,177 |
100,331 |
102,844 |
104,749 |
|
Population Growth Rate (%) |
1.24 |
1.22 |
1.09 |
0.92 |
0.74 |
0.58 |
0.44 |
0.32 |
|
Population density (capita/ km2) |
108 |
109 |
115 |
121 |
126 |
130 |
134 |
136 |
|
Years |
2055 |
2060 |
2065 |
2070 |
2075 |
2080 |
|
Population (thousand people) |
106,150 |
107,096 |
107,577 |
107,653 |
107,453 |
107,101 |
|
Population Growth Rate (%) |
0.23 |
0.14 |
0.06 |
-0.01 |
-0.05 |
-0.07 |
|
Population density (capita/ km2) |
138 |
139 |
140 |
140 |
140 |
139 |
Source: TURKSTAT, Population Projections, 2018-2080
Turkish Statistical Institute, “Address Based Population Registration System Results, 2020” News Bulletin, 04/02/2021 No: 37210, https://data.tuik.gov.tr/Bulten/Index?p=Adrese-Dayali-Nufus
-Registration-System- Results-2020-37210
Turkish Statistical Institute, ““Population Projections, 2018-2080” News Bulletin, 21/02/2018, Issue: 30567, https://tuikweb.tuik.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=30567
